OT More Evidence That Al Gore Is Full Of It 486
How do you know that? There's no data there to show that the mean temperature would have dropped were it not for nasty greenhouse gases...
George Graves
When you say, "I don't think it shows that," what does "it" refer to? The model does show that. The model of the earth's temperature is very accurate over the past century and it accounts for the temperature rise over the first 40 year stretch in terms of natural processes. Those same natural processes would have determined an equally steep drop over the past 40 years if there had been no rise in greenhouse gases.
On the other hand, if "it" refers to the temperature chart, I'm not sure what to make of that. In effect, you're claiming to have your own theory that accounts for the chart. But all you state is that there's a "natural warming cycle." You are disregarding the natural factors that this model encompbuttes (sulfates, ozone, solar, volcanic forcing), and supposing that there are other unknown factors that have an effect that overwhelms them. Why would you make such a supposition? There is a model there that purports to account for the entire chart, over the whole century. You are rejecting it without making any critique of its logic and proposing something that has hardly any substance.
Fresh off from Independence Day there are many thoughts brewing in my mind. That which I wish to relay to you today concerns, not surprisingly, the military. Specifically, I would like to bring up...
Finding flaws in the model is science. You should do that if you can. Rejecting it without grounds in favor of a model without substance is not science.